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Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?

Resolved: Yes ✓ — March 14, 2026

Resolution source: Polymarket + Official sources

If Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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This market ran on ZanoX, where forecasters take positions on real-world outcomes at crowd-set prices. Resolved markets are kept as a permanent record of what prediction markets forecast. Want to forecast what happens next? Explore Prediction Markets prediction markets or all live markets — non-custodial, no account, no KYC.