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US civil war before 2027?

Resolved: No ✓ — May 4, 2026

Resolution source: Polymarket + Official sources

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States of America enters a state of civil war by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming the US is in a civil war. Note: Media reports that use the phrase "civil war" metaphorically will not count. Only a wide consensus of reporting that the US has entered a literal civil war will qualify.

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This market ran on ZanoX, where forecasters take positions on real-world outcomes at crowd-set prices. Resolved markets are kept as a permanent record of what prediction markets forecast. Want to forecast what happens next? Explore Politics prediction markets or all live markets — non-custodial, no account, no KYC.