Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

Q: Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?

This prediction market resolved No on April 1, 2026, per Polymarket + Official sources.

Resolved: No ✓ — April 1, 2026

Resolution source: Polymarket + Official sources

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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This market ran on ZanoX, where forecasters take positions on real-world outcomes at crowd-set prices. Resolved markets are kept as a permanent record of what prediction markets forecast. Want to forecast what happens next? Explore Prediction Markets prediction markets or all live markets — non-custodial, no account, no KYC.